Uncertainty Ahead

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8min read
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February 15, 2023

FOMO METER

WE CALLED IT!

  • Gasoline cracks have continued their rally from last week, the best-performing refined product for the week.
  • Jet/Diesel spread has started performing well, as Diesel is losing its steam.
  • Clean Freight is up by 30% since we called it four weeks ago (for our institutional clients who can trade this).
  • 0N1 Force is at 1.3 Floor on Blur, marching up from our initial call at 0.6 Eth
  • Matic broke through 1.3 before retracing to 1.15 and climbing back up to 1.25
  • ETH Rising Wedge pattern follow-through from $1,700 to $1,470
  • STKS up 40% since called

TRADITIONAL MARKET

MACRO MARKETS

CPI

On Tuesday, the Labor Department reported that ­­inflation increased in 2023 as rising shelter, gas and fuel prices took their toll on consumers.

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) rose 0.5 percent in January on a seasonally adjusted basis after increasing 0.1 percent in December, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported. Over the last 12 months, the all-items index rose 6.4 percent before seasonal adjustment.

The index for shelter was the largest contributor, accounting for nearly half of the monthly all-items increase, along with indexes for food, gasoline, and natural gas also contributing. The food index and the energy index increased by 0.5 percent and 2.0 percent respectively over the month.

The all-items less food and energy index rose 5.6 percent over the last 12 months, its smallest 12-month increase since December 2021. The energy index increased 8.7 percent for the 12 months ending January, and the food index increased 10.1 percent over the last year.

BLS.gov, 2023

Core CPI:

The index for all items less food and energy, which is CORE CPI rose 0.4 percent in January. Categories that increased include shelter, motor vehicle insurance, recreation, apparel, household furnishings and operations indexes. The shelter index increased to 0.7 percent. The rent index and the owners' equivalent rent index rose 0.7 percent since December, while the index for lodging away from home increased by 1.2 percent since January.

WHAT'S COVERED THIS WEEK

Macro Markets

CPI, Core CPI, Retail Sales, Bond Yields, US January CPI Recap, US Consumer Sentiment Recap, Looking Ahead

OIL / COMMODITIES

Crude, Short Term Fundamentals, Bullish Catalysts, Bearish Catalysts, Natural Gas, Gasoline, Gold, Copper

Technical Analysis

ETH, BTC, ETH/BTC, DXY, SPY, TSLA

NFT's

News

WELLNESS WIZDOM

MENTAL HEALTH: Overtrading II: Avoid “Revenge Trading” And Take A Step Back

FOOD & WINE

RECIPE: Authentic Italian Carbonara Wine: Pair With A Red Negroamaro Of Your Choice

WIZARD’S WEEKLY MUSING

WIZARD’S CAULDRON

Current Portfolio Allocation

REFERENCES